No one seems to be reporting at all (at least I haven't heard until I checked myself) that Kerry continues to trounce Edwards in the primaries. It was Kerry 55%, Edwards 30% in Utah, Kerry 54%, Edwards 22% in Idaho, and Kerry 50%, Edwards 14% in Hawaii. Where'd the extra percentage points go in Hawaii? Kucinich beat Edwards with 26%!
Anyway, these are very small states. Kerry won with (not by) a whopping 1,871 votes in Hawii and 2,665 votes in Idaho. They also all have a teeny tiny number of delegates. Interestingly, even though Utah's much bigger, they have a much smaller number of delegates than even Hawaii because Utah votes so strongly Republican.
But I'm looking for trends. Not much will change between Edwards and Kerry's positions by June, but what can change is perception. Kerry's been the frontrunner because he's supposedly the "most electable" of the candidates. With alleged scandals coming out, and with Kerry's prior voting record becoming more known, I've been wondering whether that will hurt Kerry (I thought it may have in Wisconsin). While these states are very minor players in the democratic election, and they may not be the most representative, they're the most current data we have. The appearance from these states at least is that Kerry is still in good shape.
Wednesday, February 25, 2004
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